Trump Vs. Harris 2024 Polls: Nate Silver's Final Forecast Ends In A Virtual Tie As Harris Closes Gap
Silver released his final forecast after running 80,000 simulations of the race based on polling data and found that Harris had a 50.015% chance of winning compared to Trump’s 49.985%—effectively a tie—after a minor comeback of sorts by the Democrat who was down 44% to 55% at the start of November.